population

This project aims to provide public health officials metaforecasts - a combination of probabilistic predictions from computational models, subject matter experts, and trained forecasters - of the COVID-19 outbreak, and an expert consensus of the most effective interventions to prevent the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and impact of COVID-19. It also contains software used to aggregate predictions.

non-collection specific

(Simple) Released

DOCX

United States

English

CC BY 4.0

ORCID

Thomas Mcandrew

Aggregating statistical models and human judgment

Counts of cases, deaths, etc. Often includes multiple types of counts as not compatible with more specific labels. Information about diagnostic tests, results, including serology tests, PCR, and other tests. Can include various methods of estimation, including the COVID-19 Forecast and Scenario Hubs.

case counts

Descriptors of the behavior of an outbreak.

modeling

The method or type of model used to achieve the purpose.

modeling method

Expertise-driven estimates from epidemiologists, modelers, or others with domain knowledge.

expert assessment / opinion

Forecasts based on SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) models or any of the many variants of this basic famework.

compartmental models

modeling purpose

Projections of outbreak behavior into some future time, determined relative to a defined starting point. Might include retrospective projects or projections for current activitiy (known as &quot;now-casting&quot;).

forecasting

An organism of a particular biological taxon that is the bearer of an infectious dispositions towards an organism of a different particular biological taxon.

pathogen

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2

An organism of a particular biological taxon that is the site of reproduction of an organism of a different taxon.

host organism

Homo sapiens

A disease is a disposition (i) to undergo pathological processes that (ii) exists in an organism because of one or more disorders in that organism.

disease

A disease whose physical basis is an infectious disorder.

infectious disease

A Coronavirus infection that is characterized by fever, cough and shortness of breath and that has_material_basis_in SARS-CoV-2.

COVID-19

A collection of information in various types of structured or non-structured formats.

Identifier	URL:https://github.com/computationalUncertaintyLab/aggStatModelsAndHumanJudgment_PUBL
Type	repository
Biological Scale	population
Collection End Date
Language	English
Topics	case counts disease infectious disease COVID-19 host organism Homo sapiens modeling modeling method compartmental models expert assessment / opinion modeling purpose forecasting pathogen Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Geographical Scope	United States
Geographical Resolution
Start Date
End Date
Version	unspecified
Accessible For Free	TRUE
License	CC BY 4.0
Rights	https://github.com/computationalUncertaintyLab/aggStatModelsAndHumanJudgment_PUBL/blob/main/LICENSE
HTTP Status Code	200
HTTP Checked On	2025/04/14